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China Economic Outlook(November 15, 2016)
by 趙永祥 2016-12-08 20:37:11, 回應(0), 人氣(898)

China Economic Outlook(November 15, 2016)

November 15, 2016

Q3’s healthy growth momentum has carried into the final quarter of the year as private consumption remains strong and investment appears to be recovering somewhat. Robust dynamics in the real estate market, which shored up economic activity in Q3, are expected to slow in Q4 as a result of the recent measures adopted by some local governments to cool their soaring property markets. Still, the economy is comfortably on track to achieve the government’s annual growth target of between 6.5% and 7.0%. In its Q3 monetary policy report, the People’s Bank of China highlighted that striking a balance between cutting asset bubbles and stabilizing growth will be the key challenge in the near future.

China Economy Data

20112012201320142015
Population (million)1,3471,3541,3611,3681,375
GDP per capita (USD)5,5756,2607,0377,5697,808
GDP (USD bn)7,5118,4769,57610,35210,736
Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)9.57.87.77.36.9
Consumption (annual variation in %)11.09.17.37.8-  
Investment (annual variation in %)24.020.619.615.710.0
Industrial Production (annual variation in %)13.910.09.78.36.1
Retail Sales (annual variation in %)17.114.313.112.010.7
Unemployment Rate4.14.14.14.14.1
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)-1.1-1.6-1.9-1.8-3.5
Public Debt (% of GDP)14.914.514.815.0-  
Money (annual variation in %)13.613.813.612.213.3
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %, eop)4.12.52.51.51.6
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %)5.42.62.62.01.4
Inflation (PPI, annual variation in %)6.0-1.7-1.9-1.9-5.2
Policy Interest Rate (%)6.566.006.005.604.35
Stock Market (annual variation in %)-21.73.2-6.752.99.4
Exchange Rate (vs USD)6.296.236.056.216.49
Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop)6.466.316.156.166.28
Current Account (% of GDP)1.82.51.52.73.1
Current Account Balance (USD bn)136215148277331
Trade Balance (USD billion)154231258383602
Exports (USD billion)1,8982,0492,2092,3422,283
Imports (USD billion)1,7441,8191,9521,9591,681
Exports (annual variation in %)20.28.07.86.0-2.5
Imports (annual variation in %)25.04.37.30.4-14.2
International Reserves (USD)3,1813,3123,8213,8433,330
External Debt (% of GDP)9.38.79.08.613.2