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COVID-19 Impacts
Trade set to plunge as COVID-19 pandemic upends global economy
by 趙永祥 2020-06-08 01:36:13, 回應(0), 人氣(561)
Trade set to plunge as COVID-19 pandemic upends global
economy
World trade is expected to fall by between 13% and
32% in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic disrupts
normal economic activity and life around the world.
The wide range of possibilities for the predicted
decline is explained by the unprecedented nature of
this health crisis and the uncertainty around its
precise economic impact. But WTO economists
believe the decline will likely exceed the trade
slump brought on by the global financial crisis
of 2008-09 (Chart 1).
Estimates of the expected recovery in 2021 are
equally uncertain, with outcomes depending largely
on the duration of the outbreak and the
effectiveness of the policy responses.
"This crisis is first and foremost a health crisis
which has forced governments to take
unprecedented measures to protect people’s lives,"
WTO Director-General Roberto Azevêdo said.
"The unavoidable declines in trade and output will
have painful consequences for households and
businesses, on top of the human suffering caused
by the disease itself.”
“The immediate goal is to bring the pandemic under
control and mitigate the economic damage to
people, companies and countries. But policymakers
must start planning for the aftermath of the
pandemic,” he said.
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