77% of economists believe that the economy is more likely to do worse than their forecasts, than better. Hereâ€™s what they see as the key sources of risk:

Economic Indicators

GDP (quarterly)

GDP (annual)

CPI

Oil Prices

Unemployment

Nonfarm Payrolls

Federal Funds Rate

10 Year Note

Home Prices

Housing Starts

Recession Probability

Download data for October 2015

GDP (quarterly)

7 yr.
5 yr.
3 yr.

Actual

Estimates

Q112Q2Q3Q4Q113Q2Q3Q4Q114Q2Q3Q4Q115Q2Q3Q4Q116Q2Q3Q40 %5 %-5 %10 %

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GDP (quarterly)

Actual (Q2 2015)

3.9%

Projected: Q3 2015

2.0%

Projected: Q4 2015

2.7%

Projected: Q1 2016

2.5%

Projected: Q2 2016

2.7%

Projected: Q3 2016

2.6%

Projected: Q4 2016

2.6%

http://projects.wsj.com/econforecast/#ind=gdp&r=20

回應(1)

(1 樓, 趙永祥

, 2015-10-16 16:46:52)

http://projects.wsj.com/econforecast/#ind=gdp&r=20